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Bacterial Loadings Watershed Model in Copano Bay
by Carrie Jo Gibson, B.S., Dr. David R. Maidment, and Dr. Mary Jo Kirisits
ABSTRACT
Copano Bay currently exceeds fecal coliform Texas Surface Water Quality
Standards for oyster water use. Aransas and Mission River Tidals currently exceed
enterococci water quality standards for contact recreation use. The fecal coliform
Copano Bay Bacterial Loadings Model will be used to support the TCEQ Total
Maximum Daily Load (TMDL) program to develop the TMDLs for the three impaired
water segments. The objectives of this research are to identify the major bacterial
sources in the Copano Bay watershed, to calculate the total bacterial loadings (i.e., the
TMDLs) from these sources, and to estimate the load reductions needed to bring each of
the impaired segments into compliance with water quality standards.
The potential bacterial sources that were considered in the model were wastewater
treatment plants (WWTPs), waterbirds, livestock, failing septic systems, and other nonpoint
sources that originate from different types of land uses (e.g., urban, forest, etc.).
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This thesis presents an analysis of the existing bacterial monitoring dataset for
fecal coliform, including spatial and statistical analysis of the bacterial monitoring data,
an estimation of fecal coliform loadings (the input into the models), including non-point
and point source calculations, and a description of bacterial transport of fecal coliform
from the sources in the watersheds, rivers, and Copano Bay using the model, including
explanations for how the model parameters were determined. The main assumptions
used in the model were that the fecal coliform bacteria decay (first-order reaction rate) in
watersheds and along streams and channels, and Copano Bay is divided up into four
Continuous Flow, Stirred Tank Reactors (CFSTRs).
The results of the research include the modeled median fecal coliform
concentrations throughout the watershed, the impact of different bacterial sources on each
of the water segments in Copano Bay watershed, and the load reductions needed (and
from what sources) to meet fecal coliform water quality standards. Cattle were
determined (based on model results) to be the largest fecal coliform contributor of fecal
coliform in Copano Bay.
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but please credit the authors and the Center for Research in Water
Resources, The University of Texas at Austin. All commercial rights
reserved. Copyright 2002 Center for Research in Water Resources.
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