Analysis of Pedernales River Water Quality
By Michael E. Barrett, Ph.D., P.E.
ABSTRACT
The LCRA water quality database for the Pedernales River was analyzed
to determine current conditions and whether there are significant
water quality trends. Possible trends include spatial trends, in
which the concentrations vary along the length of the river, and
temporal trends, meaning a variation in concentrations through time
at a single monitoring site.
The data were collected by the LCRA and TNRCC at four sites along
the Pedernales River: RR 1320, Johnson City, RM 962, and upstream
of the confluence with Falls Creek (the lower boundary of this river
segment). Although the length of the monitoring period varied among
the sites, the majority of the data were collected between 1984
and 1997. During this period about 7200 measurements of 24 constituents
were made at the monitoring sites. A subset of these constituents
was selected for detailed statistical analysis. The selected constituents
include measures of oxygen content, dissolved solids, nutrients
and bacteria.
Analysis of the LCRA water quality database for the Pedernales
River indicates that several constituents exhibit a significant
spatial trend. All of the constituents that varied had higher concentrations
upstream than down. These constituents are dissolved oxygen, chloride,
sulfate, nitrate plus nitrite, and specific conductance (a measure
of dissolved solids). The monitoring data are not sufficient for
identifying the reasons for these changes, which may be natural,
manmade, or a combination of the two.
Temporal trends were most evident at the upstream monitoring station
at RR 1320, which generally had the longest period of record. Constituents
with significant temporal trends include specific conductance, chloride,
and sulfate. The concentrations of each of these showed a reduction
with time. The monitoring site at RM 962 showed a single parameter
with a temporal trend, chloride, which also had declining concentrations.
There was no significant temporal trend for any constituent at Johnson
City or the Falls Creek sites. These reductions in concentration
may be the result of much higher than average rainfall in 1991 and
1992. Rainfall generally has very low concentrations of these constituents,
causing a dilution in groundwater, which contributes baseflow to
the river, as well as in the river itself through increased surface
runoff.
The water quality of the Pedernales River can be characterized
as very good and supportive of all designated beneficial uses. Current
concentrations of all major water quality constituents are generally
below levels that would be cause for concern or result in the listing
of this river segment as impaired. In addition, this data set indicates
that the concentrations of the analyzed constituents at each monitoring
site are relatively constant or improving. There is no immediate
concern that changes in land use or other human activities threaten
the water quality of the Pedernales River; however, the source of
higher concentrations of dissolved solids and nutrients in the upstream
reach of the river should be identified. The change from undeveloped
to agricultural land use occurred many years before the beginning
of any water quality monitoring programs and may be responsible
for higher constituent concentrations in this portion of the watershed.
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